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California Coronavirus Variant Is Spreading Rapidly. Should We Worry?

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by The Good Doctor, Feb 12, 2021.

  1. The Good Doctor

    The Good Doctor Golden Member

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    The variant has now spread to more than a dozen U.S. states and multiple other countries, according to a new study.

    A variant of the new coronavirus that first appeared in Southern California last summer has now spread to more than a dozen U.S. states and several other countries, according to a new study.

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    The variant, known as CAL.20C, was first detected in a single case in Los Angeles County in July 2020, but it didn't show up again in Southern California until October 2020, according to the study, published Thursday (Feb. 11) in the journal JAMA. Then, cases of the variant skyrocketed in the L.A. area, coinciding with the region's winter surge in overall coronavirus cases.

    Now, CAL.20C accounts for nearly half of COVID-19 cases in Southern California and about a third of cases in the state based on an analysis of viral genomes posted to a global database called GISAID.

    What's more, the researchers found that by the end of January, the variant had spread to 19 other states, up from five states in November 2020. It has also spread beyond the U.S. to six other countries — Australia, Denmark, Israel, New Zealand, Singapore and the United Kingdom.

    The researchers suspect travelers from Southern California are spreading the variant elsewhere. "CAL.20C is moving, and we think it is Californians who are moving it," study co-senior author Jasmine Plummer, a research scientist at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center in Los Angeles, said in a statement.

    The researchers also noted that their study analysis was limited to samples included in publicly available databases as well as about 2,300 samples from their hospital, and they cannot rule out "collection bias," meaning samples may have been collected from certain populations but not others.

    However, the variant has a concerning mutation known as L452R. This genetic mutation is in a gene that encodes for the so-called receptor-binding domain (RBD), a spot on the spike protein where the virus first docks with human cells. Mutations in this area could in theory allow the virus to spread more easily, Live Science previously reported.

    Last month, California health officials said they were concerned about a variant with the L452R mutation because it had been identified in several large outbreaks in Santa Clara County, Live Science previously reported.

    The Cedars-Sinai researchers are continuing to study CAL.20C to determine if it is more contagious, more severe or better able to resist current vaccines, compared with other strains.

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