Estimating The Burden Of The COVID-19 Pandemic On Mortality, Life Expectancy And Lifespan Inequality

Researchers sought to estimate how COVID-19 pandemic could impact mortality, life expectancy and lifespan inequality from week 10 of 2020, when the first COVID-19 death was registered, to week 47 ending 20 November 2020 in England and Wales, by performing an analysis of excess mortality. In the first 47 weeks of 2020, a total of 57,419 (95% prediction interval: 54,197, 60,752) excess deaths were documented, 55% of which happened in men. A sharp increase in excess deaths was evident with age and increased risks of death were noted in men in all age groups. For men and women, life expectancy at birth dropped 0.9 and 1.2 years vs the 2019 levels, respectively. Over the same period, a decline in lifespan inequality by 5 months was reported for both genders. Overall, experts concluded that a more comprehensive portrait of the burden of COVID-19 on mortality is afforded by quantifying excess deaths as well as their influence on life expectancy at birth.

​

Source